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Issue no. 48, 6 December 2008:
How should the collapse of the world financial system affect economics? Part I
After 1929 economics changed: Will economists wake up
in 2009
Geoffrey M. Hodgson
A remarkable feature of the unprecedented financial crisis that erupted in September 2008
is the doctrinal shift among world leaders. The market is no longer seen as the solution
to every problem. The state has to step in to save capitalism. The US Republican Party
had been the champion of free markets and minimal state intervention, yet President
George W. Bush became the exponent of a huge state bale-out of the banks with
a massive extension of state ownership within the financial system.
Alan Greenspan, former chairman of the US Federal Reserve, belatedly declared
that he had ‘made a mistake in presuming that the self-interest of organizations,
specifically banks’ would protect ‘shareholders and equity in the firms’. He
had ‘discovered a flaw in the model’ of liberalisation and self-regulation (Guardian, 24 October 2008).
All UK Prime Ministers since Margaret Thatcher have promoted market liberalisation.
Yet everything changed with the global financial crisis. Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s
package of measures including partial state ownership of banks became the global model.
On 19 October 2008 the Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling announced massive
government spending to kick-start the British economy. He said that the economic
thinking of John Maynard Keynes was coming back into vogue.
The economics of collapsing markets
Frank Ackerman
Big banks are failing, bailouts measured in hundreds of billions of dollars
are not nearly enough, jobs are vanishing, mortgages and retirement savings
are turning to dust. Didn’t economic theory promise us that markets would
behave better than this? Even the most ardent defenders of private enterprise
are embarrassed by recent events: in the words of arch-conservative columnist William Kristol,
There’s nothing conservative about letting free markets degenerate into
something close to Karl Marx’s vision of an atomizing, irresponsible and self-devouring capitalism.
So what does the current wreckage of the global financial system tell
us about the theoretical virtues of the market economy?
Competitive markets are traditionally said to offer a framework in
which, in the memorable words of the movie Wall Street, “greed is good.”
Adam Smith’s parable of the invisible hand, the founding metaphor of modern
economics, explains why the attempt by butchers, bakers and the like to increase
their own individual incomes should turn out to promote the common good. The same
notion, restated in rigorous and esoteric mathematics, is enshrined in general
equilibrium theory, one of the crowning accomplishments of twentieth-century economics.
Under a long list of often unrealistic assumptions, free markets have been proved
to allow an ideal outcome – meaning that the market outcome is “Pareto optimal,”
i.e. there is no way to improve someone’s lot without making someone else worse off.
Economics needs a scientific revolution
JP Bouchaud
I argue that the current financial crisis highlights the crucial need of a
change of mindset in economics and financial engineering, that should move
away from dogmatic axioms and focus more on data, orders of magnitudes, and
plausible, albeit non rigorous, arguments.
Compared to physics, it seems fair to say that the quantitative success
of the economic sciences is disappointing. Rockets fly to the moon, energy
is extracted from minute changes of atomic mass without major havoc, global
positioning satellites help millions of people to find their way home. What
is the flagship achievement of economics, apart from its recurrent inability
to predict and avert crises, including the current worldwide credit crunch?
...Classical economics is built on very strong assumptions that quickly
become axioms: the rationality of economic agents, the invisible hand
and market efficiency, etc. An economist once told me, to my bewilderment:
These concepts are so strong that they supersede any empirical observation.
As Robert Nelson argued in his book, Economics as Religion,
the marketplace has been deified...
The financial crisis Part III
Reforming the world’s international money
Paul Davidson
How to deal with the US financial crisis
Claude Hillinger
The crisis and what to do about it
George Soros
On being “competitive”: the evolution of a word
David George
The communications gap between mainstream economists and the general public reaches its
extreme in the realm of mathematical theorizing. Agents in the everyday world may
(or may not) act as theory predicts without being even remotely aware of theory.
But these same agents, regardless of background, do often use much of the language
of economists. My goal in this paper will be to offer a preliminary exploration into
the changing importance of certain major economic words over the last century.
“Competition” and its many derivatives will form the centerpiece of the paper.
We clearly have an instance here of a word dear to mainstream economists that is
at the same time a regular part of most adult vocabularies in the English speaking
world. We also have a word that shows up in many different contexts. Firms and
markets may be competitive, but so may be sports teams, determined personalities,
and institutions usually outside the realm of “the economy.”
The state of China’s economy 2009
James Angresano
Hedonic man: The new economics and the pursuit of happiness
Alan Wolfe
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