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On Planning for Development: Trade and Development Reports (TADR):
Trade and Development Report 2003
Capital accumulation, growth and structural change
Developing countries in world trade

The Trade and Development Report 2003 offers a distinct perspective on global economic trends and prospects. With the leading industrial countries still not pulling in the same direction, prospects for much of the developing world are clouded by tensions in the trading system, volatility in the currency market and deflationary pressures. This year´s Report traces the difficulties back to the pattern of global trade and financial flows in the 1990s. But the Report also asks whether market-led reforms adopted in many developing countries after the debt crisis of the early 1980s have strengthened these countries´ ability to withstand external shocks. The Report looks for clues in what has been happening to their investment climate, their patterns of industrial development and their international competitiveness. The focus of this analysis is Latin America, where reforms have gone furthest, but where initially observed successes have not endured. As the UN Secretary-General notes in his Foreword, "The Report provides explanations that may challenge conventional points of view, and calls for new thinking on development strategies".
The Report analyses the troubled state of the world economy and asks some key questions:

  • Do recent signs of recovery suggest the United States has now thrown off the legacies of earlier financial excess, or is a more uncertain period of jobless growth the more likely scenario in the coming year? And are the constraints on growth in the European Union structural or macroeconomic in origin?
  • What has allowed Asia to steer through the global downturn and re-establish its position as growth hub of the South?
  • What caused the trade and financial surges of the 1990s, and should policy makers in developing countries be counting on their repetition?
  • Does downsizing the public sector and promoting private investment attract foreign direct investment and describe a good investment climate?
  • Why are parts of the developing world "deindustrializing", and is this damaging their development prospects?
  • What are the ingredients of competitive success in today´s rapidly integrating world economy, and which countries have been finding the right blend?
  • Are there alternatives to the "Washington Consensus"?
Table of contents
Foreword, contents, explanatory notes, abbreviations

Overview

Part One - Global Trends and Prospects

Chapter I
The World Economy: Performance and Prospects
A. Introduction
B. Persistent weaknesses in the developed economies
C. Developing countries and transition economies: disparities in growth performance
D. Economic prospects and policies to promote global recovery

Chapter II
Financial Flows to Developing Countries and Transition Economies

A. Recent trends
B. Prospects for capital flows to developing countries: a historical perspective

Chapter III
Trade Flows and Balances

A. Recent trends
B. Prospects: To what extend can trade expand faster than production?

Annex to Chapter 3

Part Two - Capital Accumulation, Economic Growth and Structural Change

Chapter IV
Economic Growth and Capital Accumulation

A. Growth divergence: the recent record
B. The role of investment in the design of development strategies
C. Capital formation: recent trends
D. Conclusions

Chapter V
Industrialization, Trade and Structural Change

A. Introduction
B. Structural change and economic development

C. Productivity growth: inter-industry patterns
D. Trade and the pattern of structural change
E. Conclusions

Chapter VI
Policy reforms and economic performance: The Latin American Experience

A. Introduction
B. Policy cycles in Latin America: a historical perspective
C. Policy reforms and dilemmas
D. Structural adjustment and imbalances
E. Policy challenges

Press Information

1.- ´PREMATURE DEINDUSTRIALIZATION´ DAMAGING GROWTH PROSPECTS IN LATIN AMERICA, ACCORDING TO UNCTAD STUDY, 02/10/03 (UNCTAD/PRESS/PR/2003/98)

2.- ´THE THRILL IS GONE´: DEVELOPED-COUNTRY GROWTH PROSPECTS RESTRAINED BY 1990s LEGACIES, SAYS UNCTAD REPORT, 02/10/03 (UNCTAD/PRESS/PR/2003/96)

3.- DEVELOPMENT RECORD OF MARKET-DRIVEN GLOBALIZATION POINTS TO URGENT NEED FOR POLICY RETHINK, UNCTAD STUDY CONCLUDES, 02/10/03 (UNCTAD/PRESS/PR/2003/95)

4.- UNCTAD SCEPTICAL AS TO REBOUND IN TRADE AND FINANCIAL FLOWS, 02/10/03 (UNCTAD/PRESS/PR/2003/94)

5.- UNCTAD REPORT SHOWS GLOBAL SLOWDOWN HAVING VERY UNEVEN IMPACT ON DEVELOPING WORLD, 02/10/03 (UNCTAD/PRESS/PR/2003/97)

Back to Trade and Development Reports (various years)

UNCTAD Handbook of Statistics: the complete series

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UNCTAD X: documents and papers
UNCTAD investment brief, No. 1, 2007, Foreign direct investment surged again in 2006 (UNCTAD/ITE/IIA/MISC/2007/2)
01/02/07, 2 Pages, 58 Kb
Transport Newsletter, No. 34, Fourth Quarter 2006 (UNCTAD/SDTE/TLB/2006/5)
31/01/07, 21 Pages, 466 Kb
World economic situation and prospects 2007 (WESP/2007)
Sales no.: E.07.II.C.2
01/01/07, 177 Pages, 1913 Kb
UNCTAD investment brief BRIEF, No. 5, 2006, Top TNCs present in 40 host countries on average (UNCTAD/WEB/ITE/IIA/2006/10)
01/12/06, 2 Pages, 55 Kb